Who will play in Super Bowl LVI? Win the Lombardi Trophy?

Opening the playoffs against the Patriots, Buffalo's third game vs. New England this season, decreases the Bills' odds of reaching Super Bowl LVI by about 2.5 percent, as compared to the hypothetical paths where they face one of the other wild-card opponents. That percentage may seem small, but remember: They would still have to win two more games to qualify for a trip to L.A.

One of the keys to the Bills advancing is continuing to limit Mac Jones' production off play-action, as the NGS data shows they throttled the rookie in that area in their two previous meetings this season:

The Bills' dominance against play-action isn't just limited to Jones, though, as their defense ranks first in the league in completion percentage (48.4), yards per attempt (5.9), passer rating (52.3) and completion percentage over expected (-10.4), per NGS.

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